The Kingdom of Fire: A Forest Fable for Europe

By Jose-Vicente Oliver
UPV – Universitat Politècnica de València

Long ago, on the shores of the Mediterranean Sea, there stood a kingdom of mountains, forests and ancient villages. From the highlands, rivers descended towards a blue and restless sea. Pine and oak forests covered the slopes and, in many places, followed travellers almost to the water’s edge.

In summer, visitors arrived from every corner of Europe. They wandered beneath trees scented with resin and aromatic plants, crossed valleys shaped by centuries of human labour and culture. They rested on beaches where forest and sea appeared to embrace one another. They swam in clear waters, sought shade beneath ancient trees and admired landscapes of extraordinary beauty.

Some came seeking beauty. Others sought silence. Many came searching for something they felt had already disappeared from the landscapes of their own countries. What they admired seemed timeless.

Yet, like all beautiful things, it had a social, economic, and cultural history.

The kingdom was immensely proud of its firefighters. They possessed the finest engines, the most advanced aircraft, and the most sophisticated equipment that wealth could provide. Whenever a wildfire was extinguished, citizens stepped onto balconies and gathered in public squares to applaud. Newspapers published heroic photographs. Leaders delivered solemn speeches. Children dreamed of becoming firefighters. And the firefighters deserved every honour they received. They were brave, skilled and selfless. They risked their lives for others and stood between communities and catastrophe.

Yet despite their courage, the fires grew larger with every passing year. They burned hotter, travelled faster and became increasingly difficult to control.

The kingdom could not understand why. The King assembled councils. Researchers produced reports. Universities organised conferences. Experts debated for months. Some blamed the changing climate. Others blamed extreme weather. A few argued that nature should simply be left alone and that forests would heal themselves if people withdrew from them.

Then, from the back of the great hall, an old woman from the mountains asked permission to speak.

“The problem,” she said softly, “is not the fires.”

The room erupted in laughter.

“The problem,” she repeated, “is the forest.”

The laughter quickly turned to indignation.

The forest was the pride of the kingdom. It was larger than ever before, greener than ever before and denser than ever before. Visitors admired it. Painters captured it. Poets celebrated it. Travellers carried images of it back to distant citie|s across Europe. How could such a magnificent forest possibly be the problem?

The old woman pointed towards the distant mountains.

“Because once,” she said, “people lived there.”

The hall fell silent.

She paused.

“They simply called it life, rural life.”

Then her voice grew quieter.

“And one day they were told they were no longer needed.”

The cities grew. The villages emptied. The mountains fell silent.

At first, everyone celebrated. Trees reclaimed old terraces. Pines rose where wheat once grew. Shrubs swallowed forgotten paths. Woodland spread across the landscape like a rising tide.

People in the cities called it ecological progress. They called it restoration. They called it conservation. But the old people of the mountains called it something else. They called it abandonment.

“There were shepherds, farmers, beekeepers, foresters, woodcutters and charcoal makers. There were men and women whose livelihoods depended upon the land. Their animals grazed beneath the trees. Their fields interrupted the continuity of vegetation. Their paths crossed the hills. Their daily work maintained streams, terraces, meadows and woodlands. They cared for the landscape, even though they never called it stewardship.”

Year after year, fuel piled upon fuel. Trees crowded trees. Shrubs choked the undergrowth. The forest became denser, but not necessarily healthier. The mosaic disappeared. The clearings vanished. The meadows faded.

Sunlit edges where countless species once thrived slowly closed beneath an unbroken canopy. Birdsong changed. Wildflowers disappeared. Butterflies became rarer. Many plants, insects, birds and animals that had flourished for centuries in a diverse landscape of forests, pastures and farmland gradually declined. The landscape grew richer in biomass yet poorer in diversity. To those observing from afar, it seemed healthier than ever, an endless sea of green stretching across the mountains. But beneath that abundance, resilience was quietly fading away.

The old woman had lived long enough to know that abundance and resilience are not the same thing. She had seen landscapes flourish through use and decline through neglect. She knew that a forest can grow larger while becoming weaker, just as a kingdom can grow wealthier while becoming more vulnerable.

All it would take was a spark. Or an insect carried north by a warming climate. Or a violent storm. Or months of drought followed by torrential rain and heavy floods. Fire, she knew, was only the first face of the problem. The future was bringing many others. Any landscape that loses its diversity, its caretakers and its resilience eventually becomes vulnerable to whatever challenge arrives next.

But no one listened. Listening was less exciting than inaugurating a new aircraft. Less visible than announcing a new emergency programme. Less rewarding than celebrating another heroic intervention.

Then came the drought. Then came the dry wind. And then came the fire.

The firefighters fought with extraordinary courage. Citizens applauded. Aircraft filled the skies. The news travelled across Europe.

Yet the flames continued their advance. They crossed roads. They leapt over firebreaks. They climbed valleys. They crowned mountains. They ignored speeches. They ignored budgets. They ignored applause.

That night, entire landscapes burned. Forests that had taken generations to grow vanished in hours. Farms and homes were lost. Families fled. Lives were shattered. And with the smoke, many cherished illusions disappeared as well.

When the fire was finally extinguished, the King once again summoned his advisers.

“We need more firefighters,” said some. “More aircraft,” said others. “More technology and more emergency funds.”

Then the old woman stood once more. This time, nobody laughed.

“You do not need more heroes,” she said. “You need fewer catastrophes.”

Her words settled over the room. Simple. Obvious. Uncomfortable. Because everyone knew they were true.

Catastrophes may reveal a problem. They rarely create it. Fires are fought in summer. Resilience is built throughout the year.

Then a young firefighter rose to his feet.

“My grandfather was a shepherd,” he said. “He helped keep these mountains open.”

“My father was a farmer. He helped keep people on the land and supplied society with safe, high-quality food.”

He paused.

“And now I have become a firefighter.”

The hall remained silent.

For in that moment everyone understood. Across three generations, the kingdom had witnessed the same quiet retreat. First the shepherd disappeared. Then the farmer. And finally, their next generation found itself battling the fires that flourished where their work had once kept the land in balance.

What many had celebrated as progress now revealed itself as something more complicated: a slow severing of the bond between people and territory.

For decades, the kingdom had confused consequences with causes. It had invested fortunes in responding to crises while neglecting the landscapes that made those crises increasingly inevitable. It had treated rural communities as remnants of the past when, in truth, they were guardians of the future.

For years, many had viewed the people of the mountains as a problem to be managed, a demographic decline to be mitigated or a budgetary burden to be subsidised. But the kingdom was beginning to understand something different. These communities were not the cost of the solution. They were the solution itself. Without them, no strategy, no technology and no emergency response would ever be enough.

The kingdom had forgotten that forests provide far more than scenery. They capture and store carbon released elsewhere. They regulate water and protect soils. They reduce the risk of floods. They shelter biodiversity. They cool the air during heatwaves. They purify the atmosphere breathed in distant cities. They provide beauty, recreation, health and well-being.

Every year, millions of people enjoyed these benefits. Citizens living far from the mountains enjoyed them. Travellers who crossed Europe to spend their holidays on Mediterranean shores enjoyed them. Businesses, industries and entire societies benefited from them.

The forests gave abundantly. Yet the responsibility for caring for them fell increasingly upon the shoulders of a shrinking number of people living in remote valleys and mountain villages.

But there was a deeper injustice still. Everyone enjoyed the benefits of these landscapes. Families in distant cities drank water filtered by mountain watersheds. Holidaymakers rested beneath the shade of forests that stretched almost to the sea. Entire nations counted the carbon stored in landscapes they would never visit. Millions benefited from the environmental services provided by these ecosystems.

Yet almost none bore responsibility for maintaining them. That burden fell disproportionately upon the few who remained. The shepherd. The forester. The farmer. The mayor of a small mountain village. Those who received the least recognition were often those providing the greatest service to society.

That night the King chose a different path. For he had come to understand something even greater: his kingdom was not alone in its fate. The heat that scorched his mountains, the drought that cracked his soils and the storms that tested his forests were not stopping at his borders. They were moving northward, slowly but relentlessly, as the climate itself was changing. What was happening in his Mediterranean realm today would, in time, reach other kingdoms of Europe.

So, he would build no more monuments to disaster. Instead, he would invest in adaptation and prevention. He would support those who lived and worked in rural areas. He would reward stewardship of forests, grasslands and watersheds. He would recognise the value of the services healthy landscapes provide to society. He would listen to scientists and experts. But he would also listen to those whose boots touched the soil every day. And above all, he would stop waiting for smoke before remembering the forest.

And he resolved that the hard lessons of his kingdom would not remain buried in ash. He sent messengers to the northern realms, carrying knowledge instead of warnings, experience instead of fear. He offered solidarity to kings whose forests still seemed green, wet and safe, but who would one day face their own droughts, storms, pests and fires.

“Learn from us now,” his message said, “in Europe, the future often arrives first in the Mediterranean, as once did many of the ideas, knowledge and ways of living that shaped our civilisation.”

The story says that fires still occurred in that kingdom, as they do throughout the Mediterranean. Storms still came. Droughts still returned. Floods still arrived. New pests and diseases continued to appear.

No kingdom can escape every challenge. Yet the people were no longer surprised by them, because they had finally understood a truth that had taken generations to learn. The future of forests is not decided when the first flame appears on the horizon. It is decided years earlier, in mountain villages, in fields and forests, in public budgets and political choices, in whether societies value those who care for the land or remember them only when disaster strikes.

For the landscapes that Europeans admire are not accidents of nature. They are the result of a long conversation between people and territory. A cultural conversation carried across centuries by shepherds, farmers, foresters and communities whose work often passed unnoticed. And like all conversations, it can fall silent.

The greatest lesson of the Kingdom of Fire was not only that forests need protection. It was that landscapes endure only when there are people able, willing and rewarded to care for them, and that the lessons learned in one kingdom may one day save many others.

For the people who remain in the mountains are not preserving the landscape for themselves alone. They are preserving it for everyone. And when they disappear, it is not only the mountains that fall silent, but part of Europe itself.

Final results and strategic lessons for Europe’s forests

By Jose-Vicente Oliver
UPV – Universitat Politècnica de València

As the Horizon Europe project INFORMA (Science-based Integrated Forest Mitigation Managed by Operational Research and Advanced data) reaches its final stage, its main message is clear: the future of European forests under climate change depends not on less management or more management, but on better, adaptive and region-specific management.

Over the last four years, INFORMA has brought together 14 partners across Europe to generate integrated scientific evidence and practical guidance for climate-smart forest management.

Building integrated knowledge for Europe

One of INFORMA’s strongest contributions has been to connect fragmented knowledge on forest management, ecosystem functioning, climate mitigation and resilience into an integrated European framework.

Working across the five main forest biogeographical regions (Boreal, Atlantic, Continental, Alpine and Mediterranean) and through representative Forest Management Units in Finland, Belgium, Austria, Romania and Spain, the project analysed how different forest management pathways perform under increasing climate uncertainty.

Main outputs and scientific lessons

Among its major outputs, the project has developed the INFORMA Forest Management Platform (IFMP), a living European database integrating field observations, remote sensing and management information to compare managed and unmanaged forests across Europe.

The project also produced good practice guidance on silvicultural mitigation pathways and developed adaptive forest management portfolios based on climate scenarios, ecosystem modelling and multi-objective optimisation.

A central lesson emerging from this work is that there is no single optimal forest management strategy for Europe.

Forest management always involves trade-offs between carbon, biodiversity, water, productivity and resilience. These trade-offs differ between regions and require adaptive, context-specific solutions.

Climate mitigation, resilience and carbon certification

One of INFORMA’s strongest conclusions is that climate mitigation cannot be separated from resilience.

Carbon permanence depends on forests remaining functional under disturbance risks such as droughts, wildfires, pests and storms. This has major implications for both forest policy and carbon certification.

In this context, INFORMA has contributed directly to the debate on the future Carbon Removal and Carbon Farming Certification Framework (CRCF). The project shows that credible forest carbon certification must integrate disturbance risk, permanence, regional ecological diversity, adaptive management and robust Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) systems.

At the same time, carbon strategies should also recognise the substitution effects of harvested wood products and the reduction of sudden emissions through disturbance prevention.

From scientific evidence to operational impact

A key strength of INFORMA has been its continuous stakeholder engagement through integration fora, workshops, focus groups and policy dialogues. This process helped refine management priorities, identify implementation barriers and strengthen the practical relevance of project recommendations.

One of the clearest lessons is that science alone is not enough: climate-smart forest management requires practical feasibility, regional adaptation and strong policy support.

What Europe should take forward

INFORMA leaves four major strategic lessons for Europe.

First, Europe needs to move from carbon targets alone towards resilient forest systems. Carbon benefits will only remain credible if forests are able to withstand increasing disturbance risks and maintain their ecological functions over time. Future climate policy must therefore integrate resilience as a core condition for long-term mitigation.

Second, forest policy must move beyond one-size-fits-all approaches and recognise Europe’s biogeographical diversity. Boreal, Atlantic, Continental, Alpine and Mediterranean forests face different ecological conditions, disturbance regimes and management constraints. Future strategies must reflect this diversity through region-specific pathways.

Third, forest management should evolve from single-objective approaches towards multifunctional portfolios. Carbon sequestration, biodiversity conservation, water regulation, wood production and resilience are interconnected objectives that often generate both synergies and trade-offs. Managing these interactions explicitly is essential for climate-smart forestry.

Finally, scientific knowledge must become increasingly operational. Advanced tools, integrated modelling, climate scenarios and robust MRV systems are essential to support evidence-based decisions. At the same time, stronger knowledge transfer between science, practice and policy will be critical to ensure effective implementation.

This is the core legacy of INFORMA: helping Europe move towards more resilient, adaptive and credible forest strategies under climate change.

INFORMA at the European Carbon Farming Summit

On 17–19 March, all eyes are on Padua as the European Carbon Farming Summit 2026 takes place. The summit is sold out, but the organisers have announced live streams, including a very special session for us at INFORMA.

Our project partners I4CE and Climate KIC are co-organising a parallel session that explores how Improved Forest Management (IFM) can deliver credible, climate-resilient removals in Europe under the EU Carbon Removals and Carbon Farming Framework (CRCF) and the evolving LULUCF policy context.

By combining project developer perspectives, economic analysis, and emerging monitoring tools, the session will surface actionable recommendations for inclusive, cost-effective, and scientifically robust pathways to scale IFM and forest carbon farming across diverse European contexts.

Simon Martel (I4CE) will be setting the scene and presenting INFORMA’s results on carbon certification and George McLoughlin(Climate KIC) will moderate the session.

When and where?

📅 Tuesday 17 March

⏰ 11:30–13:00 CET

📍 If you are in Padua, be sure to head out to the Carraresi room to join the session.

💻 Live stream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QG5sGQYxlug

Confirmed speakers: Soisick Figueres (CNPF), Martina Agosta (CREA) and Ville Hietalahti (Luke)

More info on the Summit website: https://www.carbonfarmingsummit.eu/

Innovation in Knowledge Transfer: Applying the Research-Integration-Utilisation Model

In the context of the INFORMA project, the Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV), in Spain, has strengthened ties with its partners at the Georg-August Universität Göttingen (UGOE), Germany. On 10th July, the UPV coordinating team visited UGOE to strengthen cooperation in knowledge transfer, an area in which UGOE has made significant progress with its innovative RIU (Research-Integration-Utilisation) model.

During the visit, it was discussed in depth how this model can be integrated into the different work streams of the INFORMA project. This approach has shown to be essential to identify and analyse the power relations and interests of the stakeholders involved in forest management, as well as to understand social perception of sustainable forest management (SFM). These meetings allow project partners to align their strategies and approaches, ensuring that science-based solutions are effectively transferred into practice.

Jose-Vicente Oliver, UPV coordinator for INFORMA, addressed the challenge of forest fires in the Mediterranean region, highlighting the abandonment of rural-forestry activity exacerbated by the climate crisis. Marta Esteve presented the preliminary results of a survey on the social perception of SFM, focusing on the Valencian Region. These presentations underlined the need to adapt models such as RIU to the specific context of the Mediterranean, which presents unique challenges and opportunities compared to other regions in Europe.

Michael Kirchener, representing UGOE, explained how the RIU model facilitates the transfer of scientific information to different societal groups. This model focuses on three key components: the production of scientific information, its integration through exchange forums, and its use by stakeholders. ‘Integration fora’ are formal or informal spaces where stakeholders can exchange science-based information. The identification of these fora and the assessment of stakeholders’ interests and powers is crucial for the effective implementation of the model.

The UPV researchers José-Vicente Oliver, Celia Yagüe and Marta Esteve

The Social-Milieu Concept

The term ‘social-milieu’ or social environment refers to the context in which individuals develop, considering aspects such as living conditions, work, economy, income level and education. This concept encompasses more than just social class, as it includes relationships and interactions with various people and institutions in everyday life. Individuals within the same social environment often share values, behavioural patterns and a sense of solidarity, which facilitates socialisation and the exchange of ideas.

In the INFORMA project, social-milieu analysis is central to understanding how different social groups perceive and relate to forest management. By better understanding these contexts, the project aims to adapt its communication and knowledge transfer strategies to be more effective and culturally sensitive, especially when it comes to decision-making.

The meeting concluded with an exchange of ideas and a passionate debate on the applicability of the RIU model in the Mediterranean context. Participants agreed that, despite regional differences, there are commonalities that can be exploited to improve management and knowledge transfer in the forestry sector.

This type of collaboration and continuous dialogue is essential to advance research and the implementation of effective forestry policies, adapted to local needs and realities. The INFORMA project thus continues its mission to promote sustainable forest management through cooperation and knowledge exchange.

Webinar: Supporting Europe’s forests through Sustainable Forest Management and carbon certification

EIT Climate-KIC, in cooperation with its INFORMA consortium partners, warmly invites you to the first open webinar and discussion on “Supporting Europe’s forests through Sustainable Forest Management and carbon certification”. 

The webinar and discussion provide a virtual platform to share key insights and current (best) practices around sustainable forest management and forest carbon certification, as well as to learn more about INFORMA and how to collaborate with us further. 

Date: Thursday 7th December 2023
Time: 09:30 – 11:30 CET
Location: Microsoft Teams

Webinar agenda

Time (CET)Session
09:30-09:40Welcome, agenda overview, and intro question
09:40-09:50Presentation of INFORMA research project
09:50-10:20SESSION 1 Presentation by content expert: Forest carbon certification methodologies  

Speaker: Julia Grimault, Team Lead, Forest-based sector, carbon certification, Institute for Climate Economics (I4CE)  

Discussion: How can we build a Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) framework in carbon certification that is robust enough to ensure transparent projects, but also cost-effective and implementable? What are the methods to monitor this carbon sequestration?
10:20-10:50SESSION 2 Presentation by content expert: Carbon storage in wood products certification  

Speaker: Samy Porteron, Programme Manager, ECOS 

Discussion: Forests offer huge potential in carbon storage, sink, and sequestration. How can forest carbon certification support climate-smart forestry economies?
10:50 – 11:20SESSION 3 Presentation by content expert: Managing supply and demand in a timber marketplace  

Speaker: Samuel Welsh, Forest Carbon Ltd
11:20 – 11:30What next? How to get involved Co-creating sessions on improved carbon certification in Europe

Climate-adapted forest management in high altitude: the INFORMA Northern Limestone Alps case study

High mountain peaks, rich wildlife and two national parks surround the INFORMA case study in Austria: the Forest Management District of Göstling, in the Northern Limestone Alps.  The district is part of the Prealps Unit of the Austrian Federal Forests, comprising a remote area of approximately 10,000 ha mainly covered by mountain forests with altitudes ranging from 600-1800 meters above sea level.

Although undeniably scenic, this vast forested landscape is also marked by contradictions. Historically, the naturally occurring Norway Spruce has been favoured by foresters due to its superior growth  performance and ease of management. But as climate change worsens and increases the occurrence of droughts, which weaken trees’ natural defence mechanisms, the species is becoming a common target of destructive bark beetle outbreaks.

As Norway Spruce is particularly vulnerable to climate change, the overall strategic aim of forest management is to reduce its share in species composition and establish mixed-species forest stands. To achieve this, measures are necessary to minimise another less obvious disturbance: ungulate browsing. The impact of ungulate browsing constitutes a severe problem for forest regeneration – both in the case of natural regeneration and of tree planting – and may require costly measures to protect tree saplings of species such as silver fir and beech.

Current management in the Austrian case study focuses on timber production in certain areas and on nature conservation in others, such as nature reserves where there is no human intervention or very low-intensity management. In managed areas, the main goal is wood production and the most common approach to harvesting is the strip-wise shelterwood method, in which mature trees are removed in a series of cuttings, enabling the stand to regenerate below the partial shelter of the remaining old trees. Regeneration may also be actively supported by planting. Other forest management goals include wildlife management, hunting as well as protection from gravitational hazards (avalanches, rockfall, erosion, and landslides).

The project activities in the area are led by the University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU).

INFORMA’s Scientific Committee Chair hands Foresters Board award to Spain’s former PM Felipe González

Destructive forest fires are increasing in Spain, and so is awareness of their connection to climate change. A topic worth more visibility, however, is how societal factors such as the abandonment of rural areas contribute to catalyse forest fires. With this in mind, the Spanish Board of Forest Engineers (Colegio Oficial de Ingenieros de Montes – COIM) distinguished the work of former Spanish Prime Minister Felipe González in drawing public attention to the issue. The award of COIM Honorary Member was handed to González this October in Madrid by INFORMA’s Scientific Committee Chairman and COIM dean, Eduardo Rojas Briales, from the Polytechnic University of Valencia (UPV).

According to the COIM, González has worked since 2016 to disseminate the circumstances surrounding the problem of forest fires and, simultaneously, promoted practical solutions, emphasising the importance of sustainable forest management and the development of the rural economy as the most effective means of prevention.

Eduardo Rojas Briales said „This is a well-deserved recognition because the informative work carried out by Felipe González is in line with the work that the COIM has been doing for years. We have always shared in our institution the concern about forest fires, but in recent years, this concern has intensified due to the significant growth of our forest area. It is worth remembering that Spain is not experiencing deforestation, but quite the opposite. This is largely due to the abandonment of rural areas. The lack of timely action exposes us to the serious risk of facing mega-fires that could jeopardise everything we achieved in recent decades”.

For the COIM, it is essential to focus efforts on land planning and management. In this sense, Felipe González emphasised that „when the degrees reached by this mass of fire exceed a thousand degrees, as if it were the La Palma Volcano, there is no water to combat it. All the water that falls on it simply evaporates before it hits the ground, but everyone is calling for more seaplanes, more helicopters… and specialists know that they are not working. This is really one of the things that shocked me the most because I was really focused for a long time on the technology and the available means of firefighting”.

The Board also believes that measures such as revitalising forest management and supporting extensive livestock farming are essential to reduce the intensity of fires should they occur. Furthermore, it stresses the importance of encouraging extensive farming to create and maintain effective separations between forest areas, while at the same time combating the abandonment of the rural environment in a coherent manner. As Felipe González commented: „We have to know this, because it is essential for governance and for the media, the landscape and the countryside. Local people will not always be right, but you have to listen to what they have to say. There is nothing that protects the forest more, and nothing that improves the fight against forest fires more than a landscape that is aware of what it is worth, especially if it has a communal value”.

Finally, the COIM considers it necessary to address the barriers that hinder the implementation of these actions, such as excessive restrictions on primary activities or the lack of management of small properties in the adverse context of climate change.

Source: Adapted from COIM press release „Felipe González, nombrado Colegiado de Honor del Colegio Oficial de Ingenieros de Montes„, 6 October 2023.